2011 Twins Preview (sort of)
I am a huge Twins fan. I spend a lot of time and money at the games (last year I went to 13, this year will probably be the same). The most games I’ve been to in a season was 21 in 2002. Also, I watch almost every game on TV. Baseball is by far my favorite sport to watch and play, and every year I can’t wait for the season to start. This year though, I feel a little different. Don’t get me wrong, I am still really excited, but after the pathetic performance they put up in the ALDS last year against the Yankees, I felt so frustrated. I know it’s just a game, but I’m getting tired of watching them every year have an amazing season and then lay a goose egg in the playoffs. I don’t understand how they can have all these great comebacks in August and September, and then play like crap in October. They haven’t won a playoff game since 2004, even though they were in the playoffs three times since then. They also haven’t won a playoff series since 2002, but what is even sorrier is they also haven’t won a home playoff game since 2002! (I was at that one). I will never forget that game - it was game 1 of the ALCS. We were literally 3 wins away from a World Series appearance. Needless to say, their playoff performances in the last decade (outside of 2002) has been embarrassing. Last year’s showing was the worst, though. They couldn’t hit sand if they fell off a camel. They showed no life, no guts, no will to win. So during this offseason, I really haven’t paid that much attention, which is weird for me. This year though, I’m hoping they get over the hump. I think Gardy and the players are also frustrated, and really want to prove to people they are more than just a one and done team. So I don’t have a bunch of stats or numbers or anything, but here are some talking points:
- Justin Morneau’s health: This is getting scary. He should be good to go (although as of 3/30 he had not been officially cleared), but it seems like any strike to the head could end his career. When he got hurt last year, it didn’t look too bad (easy for me to say). If you would have told me that after that collision he would have been done for the season, I would have called you crazy. Thankfully, a strike to the head is not a common occurrence in baseball, but it can happen. And if it does to him, well, that could be the end of his career. Bottom line, it will be like walking on egg shells every time I watch him involved in a play (hopefully that will fade away eventually).
- Joe Mauer as catcher: I think Mauer gets a bad rap for the days off he takes (usually on Sundays). It seems that people think that the more money you make, the stronger it makes your body. “He is making $23 million a year, he better catch every game”. Sorry, it’s not that easy. While I don’t fault Mauer for taking the time off when his body needs it, I do think that the Twins (and him) should consider switching positions in the next few years. He is a great defensive catcher, but that’s not why we signed him for all that money. If he keeps catching, he could have major knee issues, at which point he wouldn’t even make a viable outfielder (insert Delmon Young joke here). I’m no doctor, so I could be wrong, but it’s probably due to the fact that he is pretty tall for a catcher.
- Starting rotation: I was a little pissed when the Twins didn’t really do anything about their starting rotation, outside of re-signing Pavano (which I liked). Do we even have one dominant pitcher? I’m hoping Liriano finally takes that role this year. Speaking of, what was up with the Twins shopping him around during the offseason? We were in need of starting pitching, so why get rid of one of our best? It’ s not like we are in rebuilding mode. On top of that, Liriano is a head case, so do they really think it would help his confidence by saying “hey, we might want to trade you”? The rest of our rotation is solid, but up and down. The rotation will look like this: Pavano, Liriano, Duensing, Blackburn, Baker. It is weird to see Baker at #5, considering he used to be our #1. I’m hoping he bounces back this year – it seems like he was troubled with some elbow issues that he got taken care of during the offseason. Duensing and Blackburn should have solid (but not dominant) years, so we will see. I am still iffy on this rotation, though.
- Bullpen: Keeping with the topic of pitching, we lost the following key bullpen pitchers: Jessie Crain, Matt Gurrier, Jon Rauch and Brian Fuentes. Ouch. However, the bullpen may not be as bad as you think. Mirajes (another head case) can be really good at times, so hopefully another year under his belt (if you can find it – zing!) will be beneficial. The thing I’m most interested about is the closer role. Gardenhire has stated that to start the season, he will most likely switch between returning Joe Nathan and Matt Capps, due to Nathan still getting back into pitching shape. Hopefully, if all goes well, Nathan will return to being a dominant closer, while Capps and Mijares can provide the setup work. Going back to Jessie Crain (aka “Crain Wreck”), I did not like to see him go. I know a lot of fans didn’t like him, but he was really good the second half of last year and has one of the nastiest sliders. It also sucks that he went to the Bitch Sox. Apparently though the Twins didn’t even show interested in re-signing him.
- Playoffs: If the Twins make the playoffs this year (see my predictions below), not only will there be a lot of pressure on them to win the first round, there will also be pressure to win a single game (how sad is that?) What will happen if they are swept in the first round again? Would Gardenhire actually get fired? I don’t think he would, but something would have to be done. I’m not in the clubhouse so I don’t know who the ‘leader’ is, but naturally you would think Joe Mauer should take on that role. Or maybe Morneau, or Cuddyer. I don’t care if it’s Matt Tolbert, somebody needs to step up and convince the rest of the team that they can beat whoever they want. Hell, they do it during the season, now just do it during the playoffs (for once!)
- Target Field upgrades: The Twins have added an additional scoreboard in the right field area, so the folks sitting in left field have something to look at. I really like this addition, it was well needed. They also added Twins Tower, which I don’t really know what purpose it serves. I mean, I’m sure it looks nice, but what’s the point? Especially since the stadium has only been open for one season. The Twins also are making Target Field wi-fi compatible, which is really nice (and kind of odd that this wasn’t done originally). More heating and food were added too, and I can’t find a reason to complain about that. Speaking of complaining about the stadium, they removed the trees beyond the center field wall because it was distracting to batters (and apparently umpires). I’m sorry, shouldn’t they be watching the ball? It’s not like the trees have blinking Christmas lights on them. There are other MLB ballparks with trees behind the fence (like PNC Park), so why is it not an issue there? On top of that, how does a dark green tree with a dark green background make it hard to see a white ball? Okay I’m done complaining.
Here are my (half-assed) predictions:
American League
East: Red Sox
Central: Twins
West: Angels
Wild card: White Sox
ALDS
Twins over Angels
Red Sox over White Sox
LCS
Red Sox over Twins
National League
East: Phillies
Central: Reds
West: Giants
Wild card: Brewers
NLDS
Giants over Reds
Phillies over Brewers
LCS
Phillies over Giants
World Series: Phillies over Red Sox